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Monthly Archives: April 2019
Rein in the four horsemen of irreproducibility
Rein in the four horsemen of irreproducibility “Yet many researchers persist in working in a way almost guaranteed not to deliver meaningful results. They ride with what I refer to as the four horsemen of the reproducibility apocalypse: publication bias low statistical power P-value hacking, and HARKing (hypothesizing after results are known). My generation and […]
Revisiting Fred Rogers’ 2002 Commencement Address
Revisiting Fred Rogers’ 2002 Commencement Address “It’s not the honors and the prizes, and the fancy outsides of life which ultimately nourish our souls. It’s the knowing that we can be trusted.”
1960: The Year The Singularity Was Cancelled
1960: The Year The Singularity Was Cancelled “To review: population growth increases technological growth, which feeds back into the population growth rate in a cycle that reaches infinity in finite time. But since population can’t grow infinitely fast, this pattern breaks off after a while. The Industrial Revolution tried hard to compensate for the “missing” […]
Why Facts Don’t Change Our Minds
Why Facts Don’t Change Our Minds “Mercier and Sperber prefer the term “myside bias.” Humans, they point out, aren’t randomly credulous. Presented with someone else’s argument, we’re quite adept at spotting the weaknesses. Almost invariably, the positions we’re blind about are our own. […] One way to look at science is as a system that […]