from: December 13, 2017 at 04:20PM
Category Archives: Uncategorized
Switzerland is Prepared for Civilizational Collapse
from: December 12, 2017 at 09:35AM
How our housing choices make adult friendships more difficult
from: December 10, 2017 at 04:31PM
Pass-through of minimum wages into U.S. retail prices
from: December 5, 2017 at 11:29AM
The new Chetty, et.al. paper on innovation and inventors
from: December 4, 2017 at 08:50AM
The early moderns had their work cut out curating their honour
from: November 27, 2017 at 07:56PM
Human Brains Have Evolved Unique ‘Feel-Good’ Circuits
“Sapolsky cites evidence that in humans, dopamine levels rise dramatically when we anticipate rewards that are uncertain and far in the future, like retirement or even the afterlife. That could explain what motivates people to work for things that have no obvious short-term benefit, he says.”
Book Review: Legal Systems Very Different From Ours
from: November 14, 2017 at 11:02AM
“Democracy in Dark Times” and the revolt of the public
“We could see fierce old dictatorships losing control over their own stories. A surprising number of them collapsed. Democratic governments became terrified of the public, and with good reason. The wave of information resembled an acid bath of negation.
Information, it turned out, has authority in proportion to its scarcity – the more there is, the less people believe.”
[…]
“These groups are born in negation – friction with the status quo brings them into being, and they exist to attack, condemn, repudiate. Negation binds a network and transforms it into a political force. You stand against Mubarak, for example, or Obama, or capitalism. Once the oppositional impulse is spent, there’s very little left. If you asked an indignado or an Occupier or a Tea Partier what they stood against, you would get long, long lists of grievances. If you asked what they stood for, you’d get throat-clearing noises and generalities like “social justice” or “the Constitution.””
Math’s Beautiful Monsters
“By the 1970s, Itō’s work had blossomed into a whole new area of mathematics, called stochastic calculus (mathematicians like calling things that are random “stochastic”). It came with a whole new set of tools and theorems, just as calculus had. Today, stochastic calculus is used to study all sorts of phenomena, from neurons firing in a brain to diseases spreading through a population. It is also at the heart of financial mathematics, where it helps banks estimate option prices. It can account for the bumpy behavior of a stock price, and hence reveal how the value of an option changes over time. The resulting equation, which is known as the Black-Scholes formula, is now used on trading floors around the world.”
The Loss of Loss Aversion: Will It Loom Larger Than Its Gain?
“Loss aversion, the principle that losses loom larger than gains, is among the most widely accepted ideas in the social sciences. The first part of this article introduces and discusses the construct of loss aversion. The second part of this article reviews evidence in support of loss aversion. The upshot of this review is that current evidence does not support that losses, on balance, tend to be any more impactful than gains. The third part of this article aims to address the question of why acceptance of loss aversion as a general principle remains pervasive and persistent among social scientists, including consumer psychologists, despite evidence to the contrary.”
The Laffer curve for high incomes (pdf)
“Revenue-maximizing rates accordingly range between 60 and 76 percent. In five cases, the country is estimated to be on the wrong side of the Laffer curve, implying
a degree of self-financing exceeding 100 percent. The average effective marginal tax rate is 57 percent, while the average estimated revenue-maximizing tax rate is 68 percent.”
For Me To Win, You Have to Lose
“Trump’s idea of business is basically cheating. That doesn’t necessarily mean breaking the law, though Trump does plenty of that. It means making money by trickery and hard dealing in which the other party usually ends up screwed. Those just aren’t the skills that end up being effective for a President. But that’s all Trump knows. That’s why we currently have what amounts to governance via chaos and outburst. Trump doesn’t know how to be President.”
A Systems Approach to Social Disintegration
“Conventional thinking can work for straightforward problems such as healing a wound, but it is not suitable for social problems with all their interlocking features. For example, ending homelessness cannot be accomplished just by providing shelter. It requires a set of long-term initiatives encompassing changes to housing policy, expansion of support services, strengthening family structures and community cohesion, enhancing work opportunities, and so on.”