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10 Things I Believe About Baseball Without Evidence

from Ken Arneson

The Three Breakthroughs That Have Finally Unleashed AI on the World

“The chief virtue of AIs will be their alien intelligence. An AI will think about food differently than any chef, allowing us to think about food differently. Or to think about manufacturing materials differently. Or clothes. Or financial derivatives. Or any branch of science and art. The alienness of artificial intelligence will become more valuable to us than its speed or power.”

Baseball Therapy: Why Joe Maddon Matters by Russell A. Carleton

from: November 4, 2014 at 08:58AM

Infographic: The Optimal Length for Every Social Media Update and More

from: November 4, 2014 at 08:46AM

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Improving behavioural economics

“You can’t provide a satisfying causal explanation for a behavior by merely positing that it is caused by some psychological force that operates to cause it. That’s like saying that the orbits of planets around the sun are caused by the “orbit-causing force.” …”

On Kindness

“If I’m being honest, the same sort of powerlessness I feel dozens of times a year. I then remembered that the only thing that’s made me feel consistently strong in my life is the recollection of my mother holding my hand, looking into my eyes, and entreating me to fight to stay kind in the face of the viciousness and grief existence likes to heap upon all of us.”

Is it harder for high-caste men to coordinate?

from: November 3, 2014 at 08:55AM

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YouTube: Brian Cox visits the world’s biggest vacuum chamber – Human Universe: Episode 4 Preview – BBC Two

Brian Cox visits the world’s biggest vacuum chamber – Human Universe: Episode 4 Preview – BBC Two

State capacity and military conflict

from: October 31, 2014 at 12:17PM

Roger Angell: Madison Bumgarner, The Best

“I missed Christy Mathewson somehow but caught almost everyone else, down the years—Lefty Grove, Carl Hubbell, Sandy Koufax, Bob Gibson, Jack Morris, Curt Schilling, Randy Johnson—but here was the best. Madison Bumgarner, the Giants’ left-handed ace, coming on in relief last night in the fifth inning of the deciding seventh game of this vibrant World Series, gave up a little opening single, then retired fourteen straight Kansas City batters, gave up another hit, and then closed the deal.”

YouTube: PHILOSOPHY – Aristotle

PHILOSOPHY – Aristotle

Quantum weirdness is everywhere in life

“But as the attention of 21st‑century biology is now turning to the dynamics of ever-smaller systems – even individual atoms and molecules inside living cells – quantum mechanics is once again making its presence felt. Recent experiments indicate that some of life’s most fundamental processes do indeed depend on weirdness welling up from the quantum undercurrent of reality.”

Machine-Learning Maestro Michael Jordan on the Delusions of Big Data

“…if people use data and inferences they can make with the data without any concern about error bars, about heterogeneity, about noisy data, about the sampling pattern, about all the kinds of things that you have to be serious about if you’re an engineer and a statistician—then you will make lots of predictions, and there’s a good chance that you will occasionally solve some real interesting problems. But you will occasionally have some disastrously bad decisions. And you won’t know the difference a priori. You will just produce these outputs and hope for the best. And so that’s where we are currently. A lot of people are building things hoping that they work, and sometimes they will. And in some sense, there’s nothing wrong with that; it’s exploratory. But society as a whole can’t tolerate that; we can’t just hope that these things work. Eventually, we have to give real guarantees.”

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YouTube: “ll Capo” (Excerpt) by Yuri Ancarani

“ll Capo” (Excerpt) by Yuri Ancarani

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